Brady Bond Trading Recapcontributed by Credit Lyonnais Securities (USA) Inc.Monday, January 3 2000 |
Daily Brady Bond Trading Commentary
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Emerging market debt prices soared Monday
morning, lifted by an uneventful transition into Y2K and Boris Yeltsin's
timely resignation. Profit-taking in U.S. stocks and continued selling of
Treasuries helped to cool the enthusiasm for Latin debt, which was well off its
highs by the day's end. Positive returns on Latin stocks and bonds in 1999 have
attracted much attention in the press and among Wall Street analysts, and should
help to attract capital in the early part of this year. But while spreads have
contracted some 200 bps in the past two months, much of the move has been on
little volume. We believe fund managers may look for the market to consolidate
before plunging in. The February FOMC meeting looms, and, at current levels, the
Latin debt market can anticipate plenty of new supply from sovereign and
corporate issuers. |
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