Brady Bond Trading Recapcontributed by Credit Lyonnais Securities (USA) Inc.Tuesday, February 1 2000 |
Daily Brady Bond Trading Commentary
| If the FOMC continues to follow its typical moderate approach and hikes rates by 25 bps, a short-term relief rally in financial markets is likely to ensue. No matter what happens, Friday's employment report is just as likely to re-shape opinions as it is to confirm them. We believe that U.S. interest rates reflect a lot of bad news, and that, barring a major surprise on the inflation front, fixed income markets have room to recover. Spread product may continue to lag, however, as supply concerns compound equity-related nervousness. With the Fed meeting, the usual string of economic data, and Greenspan's Humphrey Hawkins testimony later in the month, February should witness high volatility. We will look for the nervous market to provide attractive buying opportunities across emerging markets. But continued improvement in fundamentals, as always, remains dependent on strong growth globally and sustained gains in oil and other commodity prices. |
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