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Day ONE

PROFITING FROM COUNTRY RISK
THROUGH ACTIVE POLITICAL RISK ASSESSEMENT

Monday, April 27, 1998

Windows on the World, World Trade Center
107th Floor
New York, NY 10048-0202
Phone: (212) 524-7008

Accommodation:
New York Marriott
3 World Trade Center
New York, NY 10048-1098
Phone: (212) 938-9100
Fax: (212) 444-3466
If you are unable to attend but would like to receive documentation from this conference, please call 312.540.3010
 

If you have any questions please fill out an online inquiry.
If you would like to register for an ICM Conference please fill out an online registration form.

Or contact Alyson Smith in New York at (212) 983-3500 to register.

Conference fee (per person) ………………………………..$1,895


 

8:00 REGISTRATION AND CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

8:30 CHAIRPERSON’S OPENING REMARKS

Vincent Truglia

Managing Director

MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE

8:45 GETTING TO THE POINT, OUTLINING THE MAJOR FACTORS OF COUNTRY RISK

Defining the changing international legal framework

The changing structure of capital markets

What are "country ceilings"?

What are the differences between local and foreign currency ratings?

How does Moody’s analyze sovereign borrower ratings in emerging markets?

Vincent Truglia

Managing Director, Sovereigns Area

MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE

9:45 AN ALTERNATIVE THEORY OF COUNTRY RISK

A functioning democracy

A balanced fiscal situation

Market determined exchange rates

Increasingly integrated financial markets

Daniel C. Tillotson

Vice President

PRUDENTIAL SECURITIES

10:45 MORNING BREAK

11:15 MODELING POLITICAL RISK

Quantifying political risk

Emerging vs. developed markets

Estimating future trends

Ross Stevens, Ph.D.

Managing Principal, CEO

INTEGRITY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT

12:30 LUNCHEON FOR DELEGATES AND SPEAKERS

1:45 QUANTIFYING COUNTRY RISK FOR PRACTICAL RESOURCE ALLOCATION

Defining and classifying measurement factors for prudent exposure limits

What are the major factors, and Why?

Establishing risk limits

Incorporating real time data for value assessment

What impact do measurement values have on management?

Regulatory consideration

Internal vs. external views

Kathleen Chaikin

Vice President, Secretary, Country Risk Committee

BankAmerica Corporation

2:35 AFTERNOON BREAK

2:50 MEASURING AND MANAGING COUNTRY RISK WITH A QUALITATIVE POLITICAL RISK ASESSMENT

Defining quantifiable risks

Excluding political risk from your credit and market risk models

Discussing the practicable use of historical data

Accounting for a qualitative assessment of political stability

Combining quantitative and qualitative assessments for true country risk assessment

Dr. Lee R. Thomas

Managing Director

PIMCO

4:00 OPTIMIZING EXPOSURE THROUGH ACCURATE INVESTMENT INSURANCE

Identifying insurable risks

Tailoring coverage to mitigate project-specific risks

Specifying coverage and costs

Risk versus the cost of insurance

Audrey A. Zuck

Insurance Department, Regional Manager for Europe and The NIS

OPIC (Overseas Private Investment Corporation)


If you are unable to attend but would like to receive documentation from this conference,
please call 312.540.3010

If you have any questions please fill out an online inquiry.

If you would like to register for an ICM Conference please fill out an online registration form.

Or contact Alyson Smith in New York at (212) 983-3500 to register.

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